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Importers feel sting of global economy
Submitted by SHNS on Fri, 08/01/2008 - 13:15.
Scott Farrell has traveled the globe for years searching for jewelry and gifts for his Sacramento boutique Zanzibar Trading, sometimes trekking as many as 300 days a year from Niger to Nepal, Tanzania to Thailand.
But the importer's world is changing before Farrell's eyes. A sinking dollar, a rampaging euro, skyrocketing oil and political instability are all factors that make it a tough time to be an importer.
In Bangkok, the baht is gaining on the greenback. In New Delhi, his artisans and vendors say no to the dollar. Their request? Rupees, please.
For the first in nearly 20 years, Farrell is staying home.
"I've been traveling for 18 years. They wanted dollars. Now, they don't want dollars," Farrell said. "In Mexico, they want pesos. In India, they tell me, 'Please don't send us dollars. We want rupees. The dollar's falling too quickly.' "
Importers like Farrell are finding challenges literally all over the map.
The U.S. dollar's weak performance against foreign currencies means importers are paying more. Investors turning to silver and gold as hedges against a dropping dollar have forced jewelry costs higher.
Then there's getting the goods from point A to point B.
"The challenge is finding products that are going to sell, but the bigger challenge is shipping," Farrell said. "We've seen a 400 percent (cost) increase in two years."
Much of the increase goes back to the dramatic spike in fuel costs.
As overseas currencies continue to rise, U.S. importers are getting more competition from other nations, where cash goes further and consumers are willing to pay more for the product.
Other factors are at play. The influential European Central Bank, which is responsible for monetary policy for the 15-country Eurozone, raised its interest rate a quarter-point, to 4.25 percent, last week.
The interest rate hike could further weaken an already slumping dollar, widen the gap between the euro and the greenback, and put more pressure on U.S. importers, said London-based currency expert John Hardy of Saxo Bank.
Hardy writes the bank's Forex Market Update, which covers daily news, comments and charts on the major G10 currencies.
"Is this going to kick off the euro going to $1.60 (to the dollar)?" Hardy asked. He's laying 50-50 odds. Only 50-50, he says, because of tensions within the European Union. While Germany's economy has continued to chug along with relatively little damage, others like Spain's and Italy's, are struggling, he said.
As for the dollar, Hardy said he believes a floor will soon be reached. "How much weaker can it get? Not much," he said.
Meanwhile, emerging markets like India and Thailand, are experiencing increases in commodity prices that have exerted inflationary pressures of their own, affecting those currencies.
Amid the bleak news for importers is a potential boon for U.S. exporters, said Dion Dwyer, executive director of the Sacramento-based Northern California World Trade Center. A weaker dollar means the price of U.S. goods has become more attractive in the global marketplace, he said.
"We see the products we manufacture become more viable," Dwyer said. "Not only do we consume, but we have products for export."
(E-mail Darrell Smith at dvsmith(at)sacbee.com. For more stories visit scrippsnews.com)


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